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Musharraf Regime Unstable; Dissent in the Pakistan Army?

2007-03-16 With rioting outside the Pakistan Supreme Court in Islamabad, and police sacking offices of major television media outlets again in Islamabad; wonder why President Pervez Musharraf is doing in Lahore?

Is General Musharraf being set-up by internal forces to get him to resign?

Not only was the sacking of the Chief Justice embarrassing, but this evenings attacks on a popular Pakistani news channel by Govt. troops clearly is turning into a huge burden for Musharraf. One that he may not be able to bear any longer.

Musharraf in a telephonic message to Geo T.V. denied hand in the attack on their office and promised an investigation.

One major theory that many experts subscribe to is that Musharraf isn't in complete control of the Pakistan Army anymore. Rawalpindi (a twin city to Pakistan capital Islamabad) is the Head Quarters of Pakistan Army, and perhaps the Rawalpindi Core that controls Islamabad has turned its back on Musharraf; and that Musharraf is seeking refuge in Lahore, Punjab; which has emerged a major power base for Musharraf over the past two-three years.

What would cause a part of the Pakistan Army to turn on Musharraf? Could it be the recent arrest of Mullah Obaidullah Akhund? Or could it be the recent change in Pakistan's Afghanistan policy to support Gulbuddin Hekmatyar - a known Anti Taliban Afghan underground leader.

Either way, it would mean a part of the Pakistan Army is loyal to the extremist groups, perhaps those belonging to the Taliban-ISI nexus. And that would have serious implications to all players in the regions, especially India, United States and of course Hamid Karzai in Afghanistan.

One must remember that Pakistan has forever been susceptible to conspiracies, coups and counter-coups and that is how Musharraf initially came to power back in 1999.

Events are still very fluid in Pakistan as we publish ths report; stay tuned for the latest on India Defence.

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